Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 244.522606 275.568889 309.994007 351.166026 399.288786 454.022711 521.365336
2025-04-27 204.379614 246.716394 297.873273 364.954136 451.660837 561.436568 713.343110
2025-05-04 178.155098 224.504729 283.647680 366.002022 479.905721 635.265664 869.281523
2025-05-11 155.816895 202.842891 265.399837 356.682848 489.926934 683.048989 995.413688
2025-05-18 139.312610 186.319164 251.067592 349.386422 499.755667 729.714588 1126.439100
2025-05-25 131.232519 180.158280 249.879349 360.003396 536.520318 821.735252 1348.270228
2025-06-01 121.421075 170.306731 241.956911 358.929437 554.067020 884.771183 1533.096617
2025-06-08 111.686468 159.534736 231.368265 352.034255 560.495036 929.075563 1692.151827
2025-06-15 104.958808 152.622962 225.889740 352.503378 579.069548 997.384046 1914.055080
2025-06-22 97.318047 143.615867 216.192943 344.635318 581.438380 1035.250270 2080.536295
2025-06-29 91.889838 137.638303 210.794355 343.448737 595.674679 1098.261830 2319.072061
2025-07-06 84.631261 128.170156 198.829309 329.311363 583.257407 1104.594015 2424.406566
2025-07-13 82.595646 127.209757 201.273649 341.951613 625.898537 1237.027294 2890.975238
2025-07-20 80.929157 126.734188 204.507631 356.471225 674.773983 1394.144760 3483.761643
2025-07-27 77.295032 122.612197 200.917260 357.355498 694.811721 1488.101562 3930.894709
2025-08-03 72.554485 116.243180 192.766851 348.320687 691.737273 1524.800161 4214.659537
2025-08-10 68.498467 110.814321 185.924422 341.232368 692.078674 1570.392350 4546.873583
2025-08-17 67.062020 109.939755 187.448287 351.543990 734.336191 1736.291051 5377.512393
2025-08-24 64.298737 106.480144 183.800517 350.501011 749.200541 1830.106959 5985.864699
2025-08-31 61.072087 101.976299 177.818379 343.804361 749.128738 1880.961882 6447.746473
2025-09-07 58.901445 99.298078 175.201266 344.260005 767.311984 1990.967639 7226.077165
2025-09-14 55.993080 95.072765 169.236373 336.617473 763.321017 2031.315214 7710.138304
2025-09-21 53.967843 92.410148 166.228009 335.464802 776.591265 2130.932347 8547.865380